Elasticity of e-book Prices

Elastic

Kindle e-book Prices

Here are three important considerations that go into e-book prices:

  • What list price to set
  • What the per-book royalty will be
  • What the net royalty will be

These three figures are related by price elasticity.

The general trend is that a lower list price will attract more readers. But more readers doesn’t necessarily translate into a greater net royalty. It depends.

Suppose you price an e-book for $5.99 and would sell 500 copies at Amazon. Assuming a negligible delivery cost, the royalty would be $4.19 per book, and the net royalty would be $2095.

Pricing the e-book instead at $3.99 may reach more readers. The per-book royalty would be $2.79.

  • If you sell 1000 copies at $3.99, the net royalty would be $2793. In this case, the lower price is worth it.
  • But if you sell 600 copies at $3.99, the net royalty would be $1674. In this case, the higher price earns more.

Sometimes, the lower price may still be advantageous, even if the higher price earns more. That is, the larger reader base may pay off in other ways, e.g. more add-on sales of other books, building a following faster to help sell future books, etc.

A lower price doesn’t always attract more readers. Occasionally, an author raises the price from $2.99 to $3.99 and sales actually improve. At the lower end of the price spectrum, the perception that you get what you pay for can have a significant impact on price. Of course, the book has to appear to be higher quality (and have ample content) to command the higher price, but if it does, the $3.99 to $5.99 price range may actually be more profitable for some books than $2.99 or less.

$2.99 is often more profitable than 99 cents for books that would earn 70% at $2.99, since any book price $2.98 and under earns a 35% royalty. You would have to sell 6 times as many books at 99 cents to earn the same royalty as you would at $2.99. Very short books don’t have much choice; they might not sell at all for a higher price. Series authors sometimes use the 99-cent price point to attract new readers into a series. For authors with numerous books, 99 cents can create some impulse buys of several titles at once.

Predicting Elasticity

Kindle Direct Publishing (KDP) actually has a new beta pricing tool to help authors see some actual data.

You can find the new KDP Pricing Support tool on page 2 of the publishing process at KDP. Check it out.

What you see is a graph. There is usually an abrupt change in curvature at $2.99, where the royalty changes from 35% to 70%. Sometimes there are a couple of price points where the net royalty is predicted to be about the same. For example, I’ve seen cases where 99 cents and $2.99 have the same net royalty, or where there is scarcely any difference between $2.99 and $3.99. But other times one price really stands out, like $3.99.

What we don’t know is how reliable the data will be for any specific new title, or precisely how Amazon is determining which titles are similar to your book.

But any data is better than none at all, right? At least it gives you something to go on.

Well, you can always get your own data. Try experimenting with your price and you can see the impact first-hand.

I like the new KDP Pricing Support tool. When I’ve used it, the graph has seemed reasonable; i.e. the data resembled my experience and expectations.

Of course, each book is unique, and won’t necessarily follow the trend.

The Amazon Book Team recently offered some fascinating insight into Kindle e-book price elasticity regarding the famous Amazon-Hachette dispute.

You can check that out by clicking here (it’s an Amazon page).

Keep in mind that the change in price from $9.99 to $14.99 is probably much more sensitive than a change in price from $3.99 to $5.99 or from $2.99 to $3.99. At the lower end of the price spectrum, a lower price doesn’t always result in more sales, let alone more profits. But in the higher bracket, like $6.99 and above, lower e-book prices usually draw in many more customers.

I must admit, some of my favorite traditionally published authors have e-books selling for $7.99 and up, not too different in price from mass market paperbacks I’ve read in the past by the same authors, and there are dozens of such books that I ordinarily would have read in the past, which I’ve declined to read in the last couple of years because I felt that they were unfairly priced. They could have had much more of my business, and probably millions of other customers, with lower prices. But some of my favorite authors’ e-books have been priced $6.99 or less, and I’ve read many of those books.

Note that print books are understandably different, where the publisher invested in materials, distribution, etc. I expect to pay more for print books. In the case of print-on-demand paperbacks, the $6.99 to $9.99 price range is often less sensitive to price changes, while much higher prices, like $25, tend to be more sensitive.

Chris McMullen

Copyright © 2014 Chris McMullen, Author of A Detailed Guide to Self-Publishing with Amazon and Other Online Booksellers

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Kindle e-book Prices and Royalties

Prices

What Is the Best Kindle Price?

That’s the million-dollar question. The answer also varies from book to book.

A recent article from TechCrunch points out that the $9-10 price range is the most profitable list price for e-books in the United States, evaluating sales data for all books—i.e. it includes both traditionally and indie published e-books. Click here to check it. It’s short and makes some informative points for both US and UK pricing.

However, the article doesn’t make a few points that may be particularly significant for indie authors:

  • Thousands of traditionally published e-books are priced at $9.99 and sell frequently because the authors are quite popular. Think about it: If a hardcover is selling dozens of copies per day at $35 or if a trade paperback is selling frequently at $25, then $9.99 is an enticing e-book price.
  • Many e-books that would be priced between $10 and $20 are selling at $9.99 because the publisher actually makes a greater royalty with a $9.99 list price. Kindle offers a 70% royalty on books with a list price of $9.99, so the royalty on a $9.99 e-book can be as high as $6.99 (it will be somewhat lower due to the 15 cents per Mb delivery fee). A Kindle e-book priced at $19.99 draws the same royalty of $6.99 because the royalty rate is 35%. Think about it: Would you rather sell your book at $9.99 or $19.99 if either way the royalty will be $6.99? Therefore, the $9-$10 price range is selling many, many more e-books than other price ranges above and below this—it’s kind of like ten price ranges in the same slot.
  • Technical nonfiction—especially, textbooks—tends to sell for higher prices.

I’m not advocating cheap e-book prices. I’m just warning that e-book prices of $7.99 to $9.99 might not turn out to be as profitable as this article might suggest for newbie fiction authors.

Low Prices

The article also shows that many e-books sell at low prices. One reason is that there are tens of thousands of books selling for free, 99 cents, $1.99, and $2.99. These are very popular price points, especially among indie authors. New authors often feel that they have a better chance to get discovered with a more enticing price. Others use this strategically, hoping that readers will get hooked and check out the author’s other books.

There is something important to note about low prices:

  • Kindle e-books priced 99 cents to $2.98 earn a 35% royalty. A 99-cent e-book earns a royalty of 34 cents and a $1.99 e-book earns a royalty of 69 cents.
  • A Kindle e-book priced at $2.99 which qualifies (public domain books, for example, do not) for the 70% royalty and has a small delivery fee earn royalties of up to $2.09.
  • In this case, you would have to sell 6 times as many e-books at 99 cents as you would at $2.99 or you’re losing profits.
  • Similarly, you would have to sell 3 times as many e-books at $1.99 as you would at $2.99 just to break even.
  • Amazon seems to have made recent changes to the sales rank algorithm to factor in list price. This would make sense, as Amazon would prefer to sell 100 books at $2.99 than 100 books at 99 cents.
  • Books enrolled in KDP Select can benefit from Countdown Deals. Books priced under $2.99 aren’t eligible for Countdown Deals.

Perception

Most authors expect to sell more books at lower prices and fewer books at higher prices, but it doesn’t always work out that way. Many customers believe that you get what you pay for, and this perception affects the economics of e-book sales. Even if you do sell more e-books at a lower price, you might make more profit at a higher price (since you draw less royalty per sale at the lower price).

Some authors have actually raised their prices from $1.99 to $299 or $2.99 to $3.99, for example, and started selling books at a higher frequency. This doesn’t happen for all books, but it does happen for some.

It depends in part on the value that your book provides, how it appeals to the target audience, and on the buying habits of your specific subgenre or subcategory.

There are many customers who have been disappointed with e-books that they purchased for 99 cents to $2.99, who now shop for e-books priced from $3.99 to $6.99.

Another factor is marketing. If you market your book effectively and reach potential readers on a personal level, they may be willing to spend more money on your book.

Suggestions

Here are some things to consider when deciding on the price of your Kindle e-book:

  • Research books that are very similar to yours, including top sellers. Buyers will know what the typical price range is. If your book seems underpriced, they might wonder what’s wrong with it, and if it seems overpriced, it might not seem to be worth the money.
  • Consider the length of your e-book and the value it provides. Customers like to feel that they are receiving good value for their money.
  • Most e-book buyers want to save at least 50% off the print price.
  • Some buyers will also purchase both print and e-book editions through MatchBook. If you use MatchBook, set your list price high enough that the MatchBook price may seem like a compelling option.
  • A boxed set may help to create the perception of value. The $5.99 to $9.99 price point may be more profitable for a boxed set than for a single volume by a new fiction author. Ideally, the individual volumes would be priced so as to help the boxed set seem like a good value.
  • Technical nonfiction books that provide significant content are generally worth more to buyers.
  • If you succeed in selling multiple print books per day priced $20 or higher, you have much better prospects for selling e-books at a $9.99 list price.
  • Authors who will be signing up for Kindle Select have an incentive to price their e-books between $2.99 and $9.99 in order to take advantage of the Kindle Countdown Deal. This allows you to create a short-term sale to help stimulate sales.
  • Amazon’s algorithm for sales rank may currently factor in the list price. Only Amazon knows for sure, but some authors have expressed recently that this seems to be the case now, and this is consistent with my observations, too.
  • If you have several similar books for sale, a compelling price on one book may help to generate interest in your other books.
  • If you have a series, offering the first book cheap may help to hook readers in the series.
  • How professional does the book look, in terms of both content and formatting? A higher price does command higher expectations.
  • What is the demand for your book? If the content is very specialized, this may warrant a somewhat higher price.
  • What are your specific objectives? Is your goal to draw the most royalty? Is your goal to maximize your readership? Is your goal to get on a bestseller list? When a higher price may draw a greater net profit, if you’re more focused on sales than royalties, then a lower price may fit your objectives better.

Publishing Resources

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Chris McMullen, Author of A Detailed Guide to Self-Publishing with Amazon and Other Online Booksellers

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